Thursday, 10 August 2023

Monthly Market Outlook - August 2023


Global Economy

Ø  Advance Economies On Verge Of A Slowdown

Ø  Global Supply-Chain Pressure Eases

Ø  Global Debt Has Reached Near Record High

Ø  Growth in EU is Also Likely To Remain Lacklustre As Credit Growth Slows

Ø  Chinese Growth Is Also Faltering After Reopen Uptick

Ø  Headline Inflation Has Reversed, Core Inflation Likely To Fall As Growth Slows

US Economy

Ø  Is Inverted Yield Curve Indicating Recession?

Ø  Is Higher US Deficit Indicating Recession?

Ø  Fed’s Recession Fears Near 40-Year High

Ø  Markets Expect High US Fed Rates For Next Year

Ø  US Interest Payment on Debt > Defence Spending

Ø  Excess Savings in US Are No More Available, This Can Drag Consumption

Ø  Lending standards tightening – a lead indicator for credit slowdown

Indian Economy

   Ø Oasis In The Global Desert Till Now But Sandstrom Is Blowing

Ø  IMF raises India's FY24 GDP growth forecast by 20 bps to 6.1%

Ø  Morgan Stanley upgrades India’s rating to overweight, downgrades China’s to equal weight

Ø  Net Direct tax collection grows 16 percent to Rs. 4.75 lakh crore, so far in FY24

Ø  India becomes Apple’s fifth largest iPhone market in the second quarter for the first time, overtaking France and Germany, according to Counterpoint Research.

Ø  India's services PMI jumps to 62.3 in July; highest since June 2010

Ø  India's manufacturing PMI falls marginally to 57.7 in July

Ø  GST Collections – Rs 1.5+ Tn Is The New Normal (July Rs. 1.65 Lakh cr)

Ø  Capacity Utilisation Reaches 74%

Ø  Corporate Leverage At 15-Year Low

Ø  Global Slowdown: Can Hurt India’s Services Exports And Growth

Ø  Government Continues To Increase Capex

Ø  New Private Project Announcement At All-Time High

Ø  Financial Sector Is Healthy And Sound

Ø  Q1FY24 Results Are In-line Of Expectations

Ø  Corporate Profit Growth Has Been Ahead Of GDP

Ø  Valuations – Marginally Above Fair Value


Data Source : ICICI MF / DSP MF / Kotak MF

For More Details :

RP Investment Services

Mutual Fund Distributor
Coimbatore
0422- 4368116




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